Intermediate-Risk Group in Patients with Transitional Cell Carcinoma of the Bladder: Prediction of High-Risk Patients in This Heterogeneous Group

Abstract

Objective: To determine whether recurrence at first follow-up cystoscopy predicts future recurrence in patients with an intermediate risk of superficial bladder cancer. Methods: In total, 304 patients were classified as low (n = 60), intermediate (n = 177) or high risk (n = 67) based on the primary pathological/clinical findings, as previously described in literature. The intermediate-risk group was further divided into 2 subgroups based on recurrence at the first follow-up cystoscopy: A (recurrence negative) and B (recurrence positive). Results: The mean recurrence rates of low-, intermediate- and high-risk patients were 1.76, 6.41 and 9.49, respectively (p < 0.05). Similarly, the difference in the recurrence rates between subgroups A (4.37) and B (9.12) was found to be statistically significant (p = 0.00). Additionally, while the difference between the low-risk group and subgroup A was statistically significant (p = 0.008), there was no significance between subgroup B and the high-risk group (p = 0.892). In the multivariate analysis, the most significant prognostic parameter for recurrence was the outcome of the first follow-up cystoscopy, followed by tumor multiplicity and grade. Conclusions: Patients showing recurrence at first follow-up cystoscopy in the intermediate-risk group should be classified as high-risk patients and treated accordingly. Copyright (C) 2009 S. Karger AG, Basel