Detection of Change Points in Precipitation sample Eastern Mediterranean coastal in Turkey

Abstract

The field of study covers the major urban settlements of Turkey such as Adana, Antalya, Antakya, Mersin. Agriculturalactivities are also widely carried out in these areas with a high population. Also, Turkey’s southern coast has a hightourist density throughout the year, as it hosts many of its tourist activities. Variability and change of precipitationhave the potential to affect many sectors or people. Especially, floods and overflow events experienced in recentyears have led to the loss of life and property in the region. Detection of change points is one of the most importantissues of studies to understand changes or variability of river flows and precipitation. In this study, we used themeteorological station in the Mediterranean region (eastern coastal zone) in Turkey for the period 1965-2019. Pettitt’s,SNHT, Buishand’s tests were applied to determine whether there was any change in the annual total precipitationdata. The years 1968, 1969, 1988, and 2006 respectively are the important change points in the data. Especially, theyear 1988 is an important change point for many stations. The annual precipitation difference before and after thechange point determined for many stations is approximately 100 mm. In the study, long-term changes and trends ofthe meteorological stations in the Mediterranean coastal zone were analyzed using the Mann-Kendall test. For longtermchanges in precipitation, the early 1990s can be considered as the beginning of a significant change. Especiallyin the last 10 years, very important changes have been experienced in the precipitation. Besides, the seasonality ofprecipitation, which is a prominent characteristic of this region